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UFC Louisville Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov Predictions
Another week of fights, and this week for fight night, we’re in Louisville at the KFC Yum! Center, so let’s get on with this finger lickin’ violence.
Check out our video below to see our predictions for UFC Louisville. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
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Full Main Card Analysis Below:
Main Card Opener Welterweight 170lbs
Miguel “Caramel Thunder” Baeza (-195 Favorite)
10-3-0
- Height 6′ 2″,
- Weight 171 lbs
- Age (31)
- Reach: 74.5″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apr 16, 2022 | Andre Fialho | L | KO/TKO | 1 | 4:39 | UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 |
Nov 13, 2021 | Khaos Williams | L | KO/TKO | 3 | 1:02 | UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez |
Jun 5, 2021 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | L | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai |
Nov 28, 2020 | Takashi Sato | W | Submission | 2 | 4:28 | UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark |
May 16, 2020 | Matt Brown | W | KO/TKO | 2 | 0:18 | UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris |
Punahele “Puna” Soriano (+165 Underdog)
10-3-0
- Height 5′ 11″,
- Weight 171 lbs
- Age (31)
- Reach: 72.5″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 2, 2023 | Dustin Stoltzfus | L | Submission | 2 | 4:10 | UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
Jan 14, 2023 | Roman Kopylov | L | KO/TKO | 2 | 3:19 | UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
Jul 16, 2022 | Dalcha Lungiambula | W | KO/TKO | 2 | 0:28 | UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
Feb 5, 2022 | Nick Maximov | L | Decision – Split | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
Jul 24, 2021 | Brendan Allen | L | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw |
Miguel Baeza hasn’t fought in the UFC since April of 2022, due to injuries, and it has been a tough rode back. Starting his UFC career, he logged 3 finishes, before losing his last 3 fights in the promotion. Punahele Soriano is the smaller fighter in this encounter, forcing him to get closer to find his path to victory. While Soriano started 2-0 in the UFC, he’s dropped 4 out of his last 5. Soriano is only 2-2 against orthodox fighters, and 3-4 against longer reach. Look for Miguel Baeza to knock the rust off and have a good outing against Punahele Soriano. Miguel Baeza Decision
Middleweight 185lbs
Julian “The Cuban Missile Crisis” Marquez (-150 Favorite)
9-4-0
- Height 6′ 2″,
- Weight 185 lbs
- Age (34)
- Reach: 72″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mar 4, 2023 | Marc-Andre Barriault | L | KO/TKO | 2 | 4:12 | UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane |
Jun 18, 2022 | Gregory Rodrigues | L | KO/TKO | 1 | 3:18 | UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
Apr 10, 2021 | Sam Alvey | W | Submission | 2 | 2:07 | UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland |
Feb 13, 2021 | Maki Pitolo | W | Submission | 3 | 4:17 | UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns |
Jul 6, 2018 | Alessio Di Chirico | L | Decision – Split | 3 | 5:00 | The Ultimate Fighter 27 Finale |
Zachary “Savage” Reese (+125 Underdog)
6-1-0
- Height 6′ 4″,
- Weight 185 lbs
- Age (30)
- Reach: 77″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 2, 2023 | Cody Brundage | L | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:49 | UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
Aug 22, 2023 | Eli Aronov | W | Submission | 1 | 1:14 | Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 7, Week 3 |
Mar 24, 2023 | Tommie Britton | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:52 | Fury FC 76: Fury Fighting Championship 76 |
Feb 5, 2023 | Aaron Phillips | W | Submission (Guillotine) | 1 | 0:33 | Fury FC 74: Fury Fighting Championship 74 |
Nov 6, 2022 | Shahriar Zolfaghari | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:50 | Fury FC 71: Fury Fighting Championship 71 |
Julian Marquez has faced adversity recently, getting KOd in both of his last 2 outing. Marquez has finished his fair share of fighters, but has never one by decision. Zachary Reese on the other hand just lost his UFC debut and his first career loss to Cody Brundage by KO. Zachary reese is younger, taller, longer, and has the ability to finish this fight quickly. But don’t count either guy out, they have to both come back after getting knocked out, and get the nerves out. I expect this to be a slower first round than either fighter is used to. Zachary Reese Decision
Middleweight 185lbs
Brunno “The Hulk” Ferreira (-270 Favorite)
11-1-0
- Height 5′ 10″,
- Weight 186 lbs
- Age (31)
- Reach: 72″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 13, 2024 | Phil Hawes | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 4:55 | UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 |
Jul 1, 2023 | Nursulton Ruziboev | L | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:17 | UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
Jan 21, 2023 | Gregory Rodrigues | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 4:13 | UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill |
Sep 20, 2022 | Leon Aliu | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:35 | Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 6, Week 9 |
Jun 3, 2022 | Adercino De Jesus | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:53 | Big Shot Fight 3 |
Dustin Stoltzfus (+220 Underdog)
11-1-0
- Height 6′ 0″,
- Weight 184 lbs
- Age (32)
- Reach: 75″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 2, 2023 | Punahele Soriano | W | Submission | 2 | 4:10 | UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
Sep 3, 2022 | Abus Magomedov | L | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:19 | UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
Jul 16, 2022 | Dwight Grant | W | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
Dec 18, 2021 | Gerald Meerschaert | L | Submission | 3 | 2:58 | UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus |
Jul 17, 2021 | Rodolfo Vieira | L | Submission | 3 | 1:54 | UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises |
Brunno Ferreira has yet to see the 2nd round in the octagon, hell, he’s only made it to the 2nd round twice in his career. In Ferreira’s UFC debut, he was able to knock Gregory Rodrigues out cold. Dustin Stoltzfus on the other hand lost his 1st 3 in the octagon, but has since come into his own, going 2-1 in his last 3. Dustin Stoltzfus is 1-1 against shorter reach and has yet to beat an orthodox opponent. If this fight goes out of the 1st, I fully expect it to finish by the 2nd. Brunno Ferreira Knockout
Bantamweight 135lbs
Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. (-245 Favorite)
8-1-0
- Height 5′ 9″,
- Weight 136 lbs
- Age (19)
- Reach: 67″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 16, 2023 | Terrence Mitchell | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:54 | Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 |
Apr 8, 2023 | Christian Rodriguez | L | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 |
Dec 10, 2022 | Jay Perrin | W | Submission | 1 | 2:44 | UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev |
Sep 20, 2022 | Mando Gutierrez | W | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 6, Week 9 |
Jun 23, 2022 | Andres Portocarrero | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 2:11 | UWC Mexico 35: Luna vs. Campos |
Ricky “Pretty” Turcios (+200 Underdog)
13-3-0
- Height 5′ 9″,
- Weight 136 lbs
- Age (31)
- Reach: 71″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 19, 2022 | Kevin Natividad | W | Decision – Split | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
Jul 9, 2022 | Aiemann Zahabi | L | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
Aug 28, 2021 | Brady Hiestand | W | Decision – Split | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze |
Jul 26, 2021 | Liudvik Sholinian | W | Decision | 3 | 5:00 | The Ultimate Fighter 29 Semifinal |
Feb 23, 2020 | Kaleb Petereit | W | Submission (Armbar) | 2 | 4:54 | Fury FC 42: Fury Fighting Championships 42 |
Raul Rosas, at 19, continues to do exactly what he needs to do to gain ground in the UFC. He doesn’t talk too much shit, and he backs up the shit he does talk. This is a very good matchup for both, as Ricky can test multiple components of Rosas’ game. With both men featuring heavy footwork, ground game, striking ability, neither can throw caution to the wind. They are similar size, but Ricky Turcios holding the edge in reach. On paper, Raul Rosas Jr. holds the advantages on striking ability and ground efficiency, but it’s due to be an interesting matchup. Turcios has proven that his chin is solid, and you’ll have to find a hole in his game to beat him. Raul Rosas Jr. Submission
Co-Main Light Heavyweight 205lbs
Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes (+200 Underdog)
12-4-0
- Height 6′ 4″,
- Weight 205 lbs
- Age (34)
- Reach: 77″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 12, 2022 | Ryan Spann | L | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:20 | UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira |
May 1, 2021 | Jiří Procházka | L | KO/TKO | 2 | 4:29 | UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka |
Sep 26, 2020 | Jan Blachowicz | L | KO/TKO | 2 | 4:36 | UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa |
Feb 8, 2020 | Jon Jones | L | Decision – Unanimous | 5 | 5:00 | UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes |
Oct 18, 2019 | Chris Weidman | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:43 | UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman |
Dustin “The Hanyak” Jacoby (-245 Favorite)
19-8-1
- Height 6′ 3″,
- Weight 204 lbs
- Age (36)
- Reach: 76″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 16, 2023 | Alonzo Menifield | L | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington |
Aug 5, 2023 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 1:22 | UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
Apr 15, 2023 | Azamat Murzakanov | L | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
Oct 29, 2022 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | L | Decision – Split | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
Jul 16, 2022 | Da Woon Jung | W | KO/TKO | 1 | 3:13 | UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
Dominick Reyes has been knocked out 3 times in 4 losses since 2020. With his first fight back since 2022, he finds himself as the underdog for the 1st time since fighting Jon Jones for the belt. Dustin Jacoby on the other hand has won and lost, but has only 3 losses in the UFC all since 2022, and all by decision. If Dominick Reyes still has a chin, he has a fighting chance, but all 3 of his last knockouts were nasty. Dustin Jacoby has 12 knockout wins securing a KO win in the UFC 33% of the time. Dustin Jacoby Knockout
Main Event Middleweight 185lbs
Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier (+105 Underdog)
19-8-1
- Height 6′ 3″,
- Weight 204 lbs
- Age (36)
- Reach: 76″
Fight History
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 17, 2023 | Marvin Vettori | W | Decision – Unanimous | 5 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
Dec 17, 2022 | Sean Strickland | W | Decision – Split | 5 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
Jul 2, 2022 | Israel Adesanya | L | Decision – Unanimous | 5 | 5:00 | UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier |
Feb 12, 2022 | Derek Brunson | W | KO/TKO | 2 | 4:29 | UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 |
Aug 21, 2021 | Kelvin Gastelum | W | Decision – Unanimous | 5 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum |
Nassourdine “The Sniper” Imavov (-125 Favorite)
19-8-1
- Height 6′ 3″,
- Weight 204 lbs
- Age (36)
- Reach: 76″
Last 5:
DATE | OPPONENT | RES. | DECISION | RND | TIME | EVENT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 3, 2024 | Roman Dolidze | W | Decision – Majority | 5 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
Jun 10, 2023 | Chris Curtis | D | No Contest | 2 | 3:04 | UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana |
Jan 14, 2023 | Sean Strickland | L | Decision – Unanimous | 5 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
Sep 3, 2022 | Joaquin Buckley | W | Decision – Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
Nov 6, 2021 | Edmen Shahbazyan | W | KO/TKO | 2 | 4:52 | UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 |
Jared Cannonier is 4-1 in his last 5 fights, but he also headlined 4-5 of his last 5. Cannonier holds a KO win over the legend Anderson Silva. Nassourdine Imavov is significantly younger which wins something like 64% of the time for the younger fighter. Cannonier has gone down in weight class which has helped him keep his power, while Imavov being consistent, has given him the ability to move his game significantly forward. Both fighters have strong chins, and will need to find openings to do serious damage. Nassourdine Imavov Decision