UFC Louisville Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov Predictions

Another week of fights, and this week for fight night, we’re in Louisville at the KFC Yum! Center, so let’s get on with this finger lickin’ violence.

Check out our video below to see our predictions for UFC Louisville. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!

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Full Main Card Analysis Below:

Main Card Opener Welterweight 170lbs

Miguel “Caramel Thunder” Baeza (-195 Favorite)

10-3-0

• Height 6′ 2″,
• Weight 171 lbs
• Age (31)
• Reach: 74.5″

Last 5:

Punahele “Puna” Soriano (+165 Underdog)

10-3-0

• Height 5′ 11″,
• Weight 171 lbs
• Age (31)
• Reach: 72.5″

Last 5:

Miguel Baeza hasn’t fought in the UFC since April of 2022, due to injuries, and it has been a tough rode back. Starting his UFC career, he logged 3 finishes, before losing his last 3 fights in the promotion. Punahele Soriano is the smaller fighter in this encounter, forcing him to get closer to find his path to victory. While Soriano started 2-0 in the UFC, he’s dropped 4 out of his last 5. Soriano is only 2-2 against orthodox fighters, and 3-4 against longer reach. Look for Miguel Baeza to knock the rust off and have a good outing against Punahele Soriano. Miguel Baeza Decision

Middleweight 185lbs

Julian “The Cuban Missile Crisis” Marquez (-150 Favorite)

9-4-0

• Height 6′ 2″,
• Weight 185 lbs
• Age (34)
• Reach: 72″

Last 5:

Zachary “Savage” Reese (+125 Underdog)

6-1-0

• Height 6′ 4″,
• Weight 185 lbs
• Age (30)
• Reach: 77″

Last 5:

Julian Marquez has faced adversity recently, getting KOd in both of his last 2 outing. Marquez has finished his fair share of fighters, but has never one by decision. Zachary Reese on the other hand just lost his UFC debut and his first career loss to Cody Brundage by KO. Zachary reese is younger, taller, longer, and has the ability to finish this fight quickly. But don’t count either guy out, they have to both come back after getting knocked out, and get the nerves out. I expect this to be a slower first round than either fighter is used to. Zachary Reese Decision

Middleweight 185lbs

Brunno “The Hulk” Ferreira (-270 Favorite)

11-1-0

• Height 5′ 10″,
• Weight 186 lbs
• Age (31)
• Reach: 72″

Last 5:

Dustin Stoltzfus (+220 Underdog)

11-1-0

• Height 6′ 0″,
• Weight 184 lbs
• Age (32)
• Reach: 75″

Last 5:

Brunno Ferreira has yet to see the 2nd round in the octagon, hell, he’s only made it to the 2nd round twice in his career. In Ferreira’s UFC debut, he was able to knock Gregory Rodrigues out cold. Dustin Stoltzfus on the other hand lost his 1st 3 in the octagon, but has since come into his own, going 2-1 in his last 3. Dustin Stoltzfus is 1-1 against shorter reach and has yet to beat an orthodox opponent. If this fight goes out of the 1st, I fully expect it to finish by the 2nd. Brunno Ferreira Knockout

Bantamweight 135lbs

Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. (-245 Favorite)

8-1-0

• Height 5′ 9″,
• Weight 136 lbs
• Age (19)
• Reach: 67″

Last 5:

Ricky “Pretty” Turcios (+200 Underdog)

13-3-0

• Height 5′ 9″,
• Weight 136 lbs
• Age (31)
• Reach: 71″

Last 5:

Raul Rosas, at 19, continues to do exactly what he needs to do to gain ground in the UFC. He doesn’t talk too much shit, and he backs up the shit he does talk. This is a very good matchup for both, as Ricky can test multiple components of Rosas’ game. With both men featuring heavy footwork, ground game, striking ability, neither can throw caution to the wind. They are similar size, but Ricky Turcios holding the edge in reach. On paper, Raul Rosas Jr. holds the advantages on striking ability and ground efficiency, but it’s due to be an interesting matchup. Turcios has proven that his chin is solid, and you’ll have to find a hole in his game to beat him. Raul Rosas Jr. Submission

Co-Main Light Heavyweight 205lbs

Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes (+200 Underdog)

12-4-0

• Height 6′ 4″,
• Weight 205 lbs
• Age (34)
• Reach: 77″

Last 5:

Dustin “The Hanyak” Jacoby (-245 Favorite)

19-8-1

• Height 6′ 3″,
• Weight 204 lbs
• Age (36)
• Reach: 76″

Last 5:

Dominick Reyes has been knocked out 3 times in 4 losses since 2020. With his first fight back since 2022, he finds himself as the underdog for the 1st time since fighting Jon Jones for the belt. Dustin Jacoby on the other hand has won and lost, but has only 3 losses in the UFC all since 2022, and all by decision. If Dominick Reyes still has a chin, he has a fighting chance, but all 3 of his last knockouts were nasty. Dustin Jacoby has 12 knockout wins securing a KO win in the UFC 33% of the time. Dustin Jacoby Knockout

Main Event Middleweight 185lbs

Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier (+105 Underdog)

19-8-1

• Height 6′ 3″,
• Weight 204 lbs
• Age (36)
• Reach: 76″

Fight History

Nassourdine “The Sniper” Imavov (-125 Favorite)

19-8-1

• Height 6′ 3″,
• Weight 204 lbs
• Age (36)
• Reach: 76″

Last 5:

Jared Cannonier is 4-1 in his last 5 fights, but he also headlined 4-5 of his last 5. Cannonier holds a KO win over the legend Anderson Silva. Nassourdine Imavov is significantly younger which wins something like 64% of the time for the younger fighter. Cannonier has gone down in weight class which has helped him keep his power, while Imavov being consistent, has given him the ability to move his game significantly forward. Both fighters have strong chins, and will need to find openings to do serious damage. Nassourdine Imavov Decision